Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.520374 14.020704 15.644313 17.534287 19.676898 22.033948 24.828060
2025-05-11 10.129358 12.128245 14.454285 17.370680 20.943087 25.193611 30.659677
2025-05-18 8.427124 10.677857 13.463895 17.187920 22.068268 28.291190 36.898697
2025-05-25 7.162415 9.530318 12.622961 16.995749 23.080027 31.334881 43.534102
2025-06-01 6.227294 8.649992 11.967702 16.899664 24.141903 34.537787 50.864232
2025-06-08 5.511338 7.954284 11.444514 16.872760 25.244225 37.899289 58.926700
2025-06-15 5.081876 7.600006 11.342649 17.416006 27.227517 42.810934 70.151446
2025-06-22 4.568527 7.048566 10.864929 17.295327 28.122960 46.101492 79.239710
2025-06-29 4.076778 6.467643 10.263295 16.879782 28.448110 48.453470 87.045520
2025-07-06 3.696830 6.019414 9.815853 16.648795 29.029166 51.284731 96.137684
2025-07-13 3.505526 5.858797 9.819997 17.183973 31.019480 56.897792 111.461263
2025-07-20 3.336129 5.714697 9.831319 17.723672 33.076058 62.910924 128.636943
2025-07-27 3.127859 5.487412 9.682986 17.972658 34.658096 68.333437 145.835003
2025-08-03 2.861881 5.129508 9.260848 17.648949 35.064765 71.450880 158.631436
2025-08-10 2.632409 4.815949 8.887971 17.375554 35.535859 74.777182 172.586433
2025-08-17 2.431659 4.536652 8.550847 17.131845 36.033357 78.235012 187.566303
2025-08-24 2.265287 4.307359 8.287098 17.006963 36.770196 82.344223 205.032608
2025-08-31 2.124030 4.113853 8.074485 16.963912 37.682691 87.004735 224.935055
2025-09-07 2.051967 4.052458 8.124407 17.500921 40.018334 95.487642 257.136083
2025-09-14 1.924890 3.865655 7.892881 17.374228 40.742614 100.053751 279.275596
2025-09-21 1.784299 3.637869 7.551773 16.953617 40.681302 102.574526 295.947323
2025-09-28 1.671844 3.460184 7.302477 16.719836 41.058173 106.319043 317.231873
2025-10-05 1.627421 3.426350 7.368710 17.256516 43.518584 116.217347 360.599000